On October 15, 2025, a discussion emerged regarding crime rates in Chicago and the potential for federal intervention, following remarks by former White House official Stephen Miller on Fox News. Miller asserted that Chicago is “more dangerous than Baghdad,” a statement made during his critique of Illinois Governor JB Pritzker’s opposition to President Donald Trump’s proposal to deploy the National Guard to the city.

Story Highlights

• Stephen Miller’s claim comparing Chicago’s danger level to Baghdad’s has generated controversy.
• Governor Pritzker has voiced opposition to President Trump’s National Guard deployment, citing local crime reduction efforts.
• The dispute highlights ongoing discussions concerning federal versus local authority in addressing urban crime.
• Available crime statistics for both Chicago and Baghdad indicate declines, which contrasts with Miller’s assertion.

Miller’s Statement and Political Context

Miller’s comments were part of a broader criticism directed at Governor Pritzker, whom he accused of hindering public safety by resisting federal involvement. This narrative aligns with some Republican perspectives on Democratic leadership and urban crime.

Governor Pritzker and Chicago Mayor Brandon Johnson have consistently opposed the National Guard’s deployment, citing improvements in local crime rates. In August 2025, they reported a notable decrease in homicides, arguing that federal intervention was unnecessary. This stance reflects existing tensions between state and federal authorities concerning governance and crime control in urban areas.

‘Chicago more dangerous than Baghdad’: Pritzker fights Trump ‘to keep murderers murdering’ https://t.co/o86RiyNXkA

— Mack Kaplin, Thinkologist & Monkeypox Czar (@mph1223) October 16, 2025

Analysis of Crime Statistics

Miller’s comparison between Chicago and Baghdad has been examined against current crime data. According to ABC7 Chicago, homicides in Chicago decreased by 25% in 2025 compared to 2023. Similarly, reports from Baghdad indicate a 20% reduction in violent crime during the first half of 2025. These figures suggest improvements in both cities, presenting a different perspective than Miller’s statement and underscoring the complexities of using international comparisons for local crime assessments.

Experts advise caution against the politicization of crime statistics, emphasizing the importance of understanding specific local conditions. While Chicago faces challenges related to gun violence, the assertion that it is more dangerous than Baghdad lacks consistent empirical support. Such rhetoric can influence public perception and contribute to political discussions rather than directly addressing the underlying causes of crime.

Implications for Federal Intervention

The discussion surrounding federal intervention in Chicago is indicative of broader issues concerning state and local autonomy in law enforcement. President Trump’s advocacy for a National Guard presence in Chicago reflects a federalist approach to crime control, often presented as a measure for public safety. Conversely, Democratic leaders, including Pritzker and Johnson, contend that federal involvement could potentially impede local reform initiatives and community trust.

As political discourse intensifies, crime remains a significant topic in national conversations. The debate over Chicago’s crime rates and the role of federal intervention serves as an example of the larger discussion regarding governance, public safety, and the appropriate distribution of authority between federal and state entities.

The outcomes of this debate could extend beyond Chicago, potentially influencing public opinion and policy approaches to urban crime nationwide. As various viewpoints are presented, the need for accurate reporting and policy development that prioritizes community safety and local autonomy remains a key consideration.

Watch the report: This is an act of insurrection against the federal government: Stephen Miller

Sources

White House’s Stephen Miller claims DC is more violent than Iraqi capital
Chicago More Dangerous Than Baghdad: Stephen Miller accuses JB Pritzker of protecting murderers
Chicago More Dangerous Than Baghdad: Stephen Miller’s controversial claims
Stephen Miller, JB Pritzker fights Donald Trump National Guard Chicago crime crackdown